All of the polls are moving toward Trump -- except one, which is the most accurate and the most pro-Trump (in terms of results): Rasmussen. Why?
This race is still too close to call. And while I would rather be Trump than Harris, she has a lock on the votes of women who put abortion above all other issues and who hate Trump with a burning passion. (You can hear it in Michelle Obama's anger at men who back Trump, against women's supposed wishes.)
I feel like Harris can't win -- not just because Trump has so many ways to win, but also because even if she does win, the election has been so rigged in her favor, while her performance has been so bad, that no one will accept it.
That is not to say there will be a violent rejection of the results. Rather, people -- especially men -- will quietly withdraw and insulate their lives, as much as is possible, from public life, the law, the eyes of the state. (Many do already.)
I feel a sense of optimism, partly because the prospect of a Harris win, I believe, has motivated Israel to take risks -- successfully -- to defeat its enemies. I think many others will follow that example and pursue their interest, regardless.
A Trump win would present new challenges: the task of governing will be nearly impossible. Harris would be stuck with problems largely of her party's own creation: inflation, debt, instability, crime... good luck with all that, Democrats.
Trump would be infinitely preferable, and would open new possibilities for joint investment, cultural renewal, global (yes, global) leadership... but we will also survive a Harris presidency, though it may come at a deep and lasting cost.
This is my first broadcast from the new office and studio in Washington, DC, where I'll be for a couple of years my neighborhood back in L.A. cleans up -- and as we follow the Trump administration from a little closer up than usual.
Topics:
- The anniversary of the attempted assassination of President Donald Trump
- The escalating tariff battle with various different trading partners
- The future of the Middle East peace talks, and ongoing antisemitism
- The Jeffrey Epstein files and whether they mean anything at all
- The continued crisis of the Texas floods, and stories of heroism and survival
And more!
Special guests:
- James Rosen - Newsmax chief Washington correspondent
- Bob Price - Breitbart News Texas reporter, on the ongoing floods
- Robert Cahill - Trafalgar Polling, on a new alliance of reliable pollsters
- Rabbi Yaakov Menken - Coalition for Jewish Values - on Israel & antisemitism
Tune in: 7-10 p.m. ET, 4-7 p.m. PT
Call: 866-957-2874
This week’s portion tells the grand story of the prophet who tried to curse people of Israel and instead ended up blessing them.
I am reminded that these portions continue to be relevant anew, as this particular reading lent the title for Israel’s recent 12 Day War against Iran, “Operation Rising Lion.”
This week's portion includes the commandment of the red heifer -- one of the classic "irrational" commandments whose fulfillment is an expression of faith. It also includes the regrettable episode in which Moses strikes the rock.
I referred to this story in a wedding speech last night. Why was Moses punished for striking the rock in Numbers, when he struck the rock without incident in Exodus -- both for the purpose of providing water to the people?
The answer is that in the interim, the Jewish people had received the Torah, which is like the marriage contract between the people of Israel and God. In a marriage, you do not resolve things by breaking boundaries, but through love.
The additional reading, from Judges Chapter 11, is the story of Jephthah (Yiftach), a man whom the leaders spurn, but to whom they must turn to save the nation. The parallels to our present political circumstances are striking.
Shabbat Shalom and Happy Fourth of July!
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