Israeli reserve General Amir Avivi, who predicted the Third Lebanon War just over a week before it began, says that an Israeli counterattack against Iran is coming soon and that it will be very "fierce" and also "surprising."
I agree, and here's why: Donald Trump is not going to want war in the Middle East if and when he wins the election. The deadline for military action is January 20. Israel did not want a war, but now that it has one, it has to win it.
Originally I thought Israel would wait until Election Day, November 5 (two weeks from today), to strike. Now I think it may strike even earlier, with Trump gaining in the polls. (Kamala Harris's debate performance, conversely, may have suggested to Israeli leaders that they had to act soon in case she won the election.)
I'm not buying stories about intelligence leaks of Israeli attack plans. No doubt U.S. intelligence is leaky -- which is why Israel is probably not sharing much information with the Biden administration. But I doubt the latest stories.
For one thing, Democrats administrations have used such leaks before to undermine Israeli attack plans. For another, the people reporting these leaks are the usual national security conspiracy theory suspects, and anti-Israel nuts.
I anticipate that there will be an air component to the attack, but that the "surprises" could come on the ground, either from Iranian rebels or Israeli commandos who manage to infiltrate Iran. There could also be an attack from the east -- say, a makeshift airstrip in Afghanistan that disappears overnight.
Avivi says the war will last "many months." Late October thru January is "many."
Israel's goals will be threefold: 1. To eliminate the Iranian nuclear threat. 2. To damage the regime's ability to fund terror abroad. 3. To destabilize the Iranian regime domestically so that the Iranian people can topple it themselves.
We can only wait from afar to see what happens. (There is no choice; most of the major airlines aren't flying to Israel and my own flights were canceled.) We wait, we watch, we pray, we write. I do think things will work out for the best.
This week's show will be slightly different from the norm: we'll focus on clips and topics, rather than guests -- and that, hopefully, will mean more input from the callers (unless you are all watching football on opening weekend).
Topics:
- The state of the economy
- The fight against crime
- The midterm election fight
- The struggle for peace between Russia and Ukraine
- The airstrike on the Venezuelan drug cartel
- The attempt to sink Kennedy
- The war in Gaza
- The case against Harvard
- The Trump presidency
Tune in: SiriusXM Patriot 125, 7-10 p.m. ET / 4-7 p.m. PT
Call: 866-957-2874
This week's Torah portion includes several laws about conduct in civic and personal life, the common theme of which is boundaries -- setting bounds to what one may do at home, at work, and even in the battlefield.
One noteworthy passage concerns Amalek, the evil nation that attacked the Children of Israel as they made their Exodus from slavery to freedom. Deuteronomy 25:17-19 commands Jews to obliterate Amalek's memory.
The South African government accused Israel of genocide on the basis of a story about Amalek in the Book of Samuel, in which King Saul was commanded to wipe out the entire evil Amalekite nation.
Because Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu quoted this week's portion -- "Remember what Amalek did to you" (25:17), the South African government claimed he was commanding soldiers to commit genocide.
It was an absurd and malevolent misreading of the Bible and of Jewish tradition. The commandment, as observed by Jews today, is to remember the evil of Amalek and fight ...
